SCFZ 2021 Academy Awards Poll

[flip]

The Academy Award nominations have been announced. For our never-very-popular annual Academy Awards poll, using the official nominations, you can vote in any category you like. The rules:

- if you have not seen at least half of the nominees in a category, you can't vote in that category, except in the Best Picture category
- for Best Pic, if you have seen 3, you can post a top one, if you have seen 4-5 films, you can post a top two, if you have seen 6-7 films, you can post a top three, if you have seen 8-9, you can post a top four, and if you have seen all 10 you can post a top five. If you haven't seen 3, you cannot vote
- for the other categories, you can post a top two list if you have seen 3-4 films, or a top three if you have seen every nominee
- ballots must be ranked, and will be scored in the usual way (1-2-3-etc from the bottom up)
- for any category that garners two or more ballots, I'll tally the results and we'll award the SCFZ alternative Oscars accordingly

nominees can be found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/94th_Academy_Awards

[flip]

this is not a ballot (it will become one later, but i haven't seen enough films to vote in even one category yet), just recording for now what i've seen so far

Best Picture (seen eight)

1. Belfast
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Licorice Pizza
4. King Richard
_______
5. Dune
6. CODA
7. Don't Look Up
8. Nightmare Alley

Best Director (seen three)

1. PT Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
2. Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
_____
3. Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)

Best Actor (seen three)

1. Will Smith (King Richard)
2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
_____
3. Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)

Best Actress (seen one)

1. Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)

Best Supporting Actor (seen five)

1. Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
2. Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
3. Troy Kotsur (CODA)
_____
4. Ciaran Hinds (Belfast)
5. JK Simmons (Being the Ricardos)

Best Supporting Actress (seen three)

1. Judi Dench (Belfast)
2. Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
_____
3. Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)

Best Original Screenplay (seen four)

1. Belfast
2. King Richard
______
3. Licorice Pizza
4. Don't Look Up

Best Adapted Screenplay (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Dune
_________________
3. CODA

Best Animated Feature (seen zero)

Best International Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Nightmare Alley
_________
3. Dune

Best Cinematography (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Dune
_________
3. Nightmare Alley

Best Costume Design (seen one)

1. Cruella
2. Dune
_________
3. Nightmare Alley

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen two)

1. Cruella
2. Dune

Best Original Score (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Don't Look Up
________
3. Dune

Best Original Song (seen two)

1. "Down to Joy" (Belfast)
2. "Be Alive" (King Richard)

Best Sound (seen two)

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
_______
3. Belfast

Best Film Editing (seen four)

1. Don't Look Up
2. The Power of the Dog
________
3. Dune
4. King Richard

Best Visual Effects (seen one)

1. Dune

[Monsieur Arkadin]

My wife and I usually crank out several nominees closer to the ceremony, so I'll update this into an actual ballot once I've seen enough for my votes in most categories to count.

Best Picture (seen three)
1. Licorice Pizza

Best Director (seen two)
1. Jane Campion

Best Actor (seen two)
1. Benedict Cumberbatch

Best Actress (seen one)
1. Olivia Colman (god I hope something better than this is in the rest of the options)

Best Supporting Actor (seen two)
1. Jesse Plemons

Best Supporting Actress (seen two)
1. Jessie Buckley

Best Original Screenplay (seen two)
1. Licorice Pizza

Best Adapted Screenplay (seen two)
1. The Power of the Dog

Best Animated Feature (seen Zero)

Best International Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design (seen one)
1. The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Cinematography (seen two)
1. The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Costume Design (seen zero)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen zero)

Best Original Score (seen two)
1. The Power of the Dog

Best Original Song (seen zero, and will not vote even if I see more. This is a fake category.)

Best Sound (seen one)
1. The Power of the Dog

Best Film Editing (seen two)
1. The Power of the Dog

Best Visual Effects (seen zero)

[Roscoe]

Best Picture

LICORICE PIZZA, I guess, the best of the ones I've seen.

Best Director

P.T. Anderson

Best Actor

The ones I've seen are entirely undeserving. Toss it to whomever.

Best Actress

The one I've seen is entirely undeserving. Whatever.

Best Supporting Actor

Jesse Plemons

Best Supporting Actress

Kirsten Dunst

Best Original Screenplay

LICORICE PIZZA

Best Adapted Screenplay

I've actively despised the ones I've seen -- I'll never forgive or forget the moment in DUNE when poor Josh Brolin has to say "I am smiling." And that DOG thing, fuck no way.

Best Animated Feature (seen zero)

Best International Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design

No nomination for LICORICE PIZZA, no peace.

Best Cinematography

Nothing special about any of the ones I've seen, least of all the video-gamization of MACBETH.

Best Costume Design

Again, no LICORICE PIZZA, no peace.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Again, no LICORICE PIZZA, no peace, for managing the remarkable feat of getting those hairstyles right without going overboard.

Best Original Score

Usually this would go to Jonny Greenwood, but it seems typical that he'll win the Oscar for the first score of his that falls flat. Whatever, Jonny.

Best Original Song

COuldn't care less.

Best Sound

Couldn't care less

Best Film Editing

Couldn't care less

Best Visual Effects

[flip]

forgot to mention the deadline for this -- i'll close this a day or two before the actual oscars, so around march 25

[john ryan]

Placeholder

Best Picture (seen eight)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
4. Nightmare Alley
5. King Richard
_______
6. CODA
7. Belfast
8. Don't Look Up

Best Director (seen three)

1. Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)
2. Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
_________________
3. Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)

Best Actor (seen four)

1. Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)
2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
_____
3. Will Smith (King Richard)
4. Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick... Boom)

Best Actress (seen three)

1. Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
2. Olivia Coleman (The Lost Daughter)
_________________
3. Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)

Best Supporting Actor (seen four)

1. Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
2. Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
3. Troy Kotsur (CODA)
_____
4. Ciaran Hinds (Belfast)


Best Supporting Actress (seen four)

1. Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
2. Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
_____
3. Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
4. Judi Dench (Belfast)

Best Original Screenplay (seen four)

1. The Worst Person in the World
2. King Richard
______
3. Belfast
4. Don't Look Up

Best Adapted Screenplay (seen five)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
_________________
4. The Lost Daughter
5. CODA

Best Animated Feature (seen two)

1. Flee
2. Luca

Best International Feature (seen four)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Worst Person in the World
_________________
3. The Hand of God
4. Flee

Best Documentary Feature (seen zero)

1. Summer of Soul
2. Flee

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design (seen four)

1. The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Nightmare Alley
_________________
3. The Power of the Dog
4. Dune

Best Cinematography (seen four)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
_________________
3. Nightmare Alley
4. Dune

Best Costume Design (seen two)

1. Nightmare Alley
2. Dune

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen three)

1. Dune
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
_________________
3. Coming 2 America

Best Original Score (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Dune
________
3. Don't Look Up

Best Original Song (seen three)

1. "Down to Joy" (Belfast)
2. "Be Alive" (King Richard)
_________________
3. "No Time to Die" (No Time to Die)

Best Sound (seen four)

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
_______
3. No Time to Die
4. Belfast

Best Film Editing (seen five)

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Tick, Tick... Boom
________
4. King Richard
5. Don't Look Up

Best Visual Effects (seen three)

1. Dune
2. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
_________________
3. No Time to Die

[flip]

i'm holding off posting my ballot until the last minute, because i'm still watching things (as of a few minutes ago, have now seen all ten best pic nominees), and without editing features, i only want to post the final version of my ballot. i'll tally this poll in the early afternoon (my time) on sunday march 27, oscars day, so that's the deadline -- anyone who wants to vote or post a new ballot, please do before then!

[john ryan]

Currently unable to edit my posts. Please disregard my earlier post in this thread. Final votes.

Best Picture (seen ten)
1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
4. Nightmare Alley
5. Licorice Pizza

Best Director (seen five)
1. Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)
2. Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
3. Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)

Best Actor (seen five)
1. Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)
2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
3. Will Smith (King Richard)

Best Actress (seen five)
1. Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
2. Olivia Coleman (The Lost Daughter)
3. Penelope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)

Best Supporting Actor (seen five)
1. Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
2. Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
3. Troy Kotsur (CODA)

Best Supporting Actress (seen five)
1. Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
2. Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
3. Arianna Debose (West Side Story)

Best Original Screenplay (seen five)
1. The Worst Person in the World
2. Licorice Pizza
3. King Richard

Adapted Screenplay (seen five)
1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune

Best Animated Feature (seen five)
1. Raya and the Last Dragon
2. The Mitchells vs. the Machines
3. Encanto

Best International Feature (seen five)
1. Drive My Car
2. The Worst Person in the World
3. The Hand of God

Best Documentary Feature (seen five)
1. Attica
2. Summer of Soul
3. Ascension

Best Documentary Short (seen four)
1. The Queen of Basketball
2. Lead Me Home

Best Live Action Short (seen three)
1. Please Hold
2. The Long Goodbye

Best Animated Short (seen three)
1. The Windshield Wiper
2. Robin Robin

Best Production Design (seen five)
1. The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Nightmare Alley
3. West Side Story

Best Cinematography (seen five)
1. The Power of the Dog
2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
3. West Side Story

Best Costume Design (seen five)
1. Cyrano
2. Nightmare Alley
3. Dune

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen five)
1. Dune
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
3. House of Gucci

Best Original Score (seen five)
1. The Power of the Dog
2. Dune
3. Encanto

Best Original Song (seen five)
1. "Dos Oruguitas" (Encanto)
2. "Be Alive" (King Richard)
3. "No Time to Die" (No Time to Die)

Best Sound (seen five)
1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. No Time to Die

Best Film Editing (seen five)
1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Tick, Tick... Boom

Best Visual Effects (seen five)
1. Dune
2. Spider-Man: No Way Home
3. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

[ofrene]

Best Picture (seen 10)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Licorice Pizza
4. West Side Story
5. Nightmare Alley

Best Director (seen 5)

1. Ryusuke Hamaguchi
2. Jane Campion
3. Steven Spielberg

Best Actor (seen 5)

1. Will Smith
2. Andrew Garfield
3. Benedict Cumberbatch

Best Actress (seen 4)

1. Penelope Cruz
2. Kristen Stewart

Best Supporting Actor (seen 5)

1. Troy Kotsur
2. Ciaran Hinds
3. Kodi Smit-McPhee

Best Supporting Actress (seen 4)

1. Ariana DeBose
2. Judi Dench

Best Original Screenplay (seen 4)

1. Licorice Pizza
2. King Richard

Best Adapted Screenplay (seen 4)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog

Best Animated Feature (seen 5)

1. Flee
2. The Mitchells vs. the Machines
3. Encanto

Best International Feature (seen 4)

1. Drive My Car
2. Flee

Best Documentary Feature (seen 4)

1. Flee
2. Summer of Soul

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design (seen 5)

1. Nightmare Alley
2. West Side Story
3. The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Cinematography (seen 5)

1. West Side Story
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Nightmare Alley

Best Costume Design (seen 4)

1. West Side Story
2. Cruella

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen 4)

1. Cruella
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Original Score (seen 5)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Parallel Mothers
3. Dune

Best Original Song (seen 4)

1. "Be Alive"
2. "No Time to Die"

Best Sound (seen 5)

1. West Side Story
2. Dune
3. The Power of the Dog

Best Film Editing (seen 5)

1. Tick, Tick... Boom!
2. Don't Look Up
3. The Power of the Dog

Best Visual Effects (seen 4)

1. Dune

[flip]

reminder this is closing in the next couple of hours!!!

[flip]

i watched quite a few more films, this is my updated ballot, i listed everything i've seen but obviously my votes only count in some of the categories:


Best Picture (seen all ten)

1. Drive My Car
2. Belfast
3. The Power of the Dog
4. Licorice Pizza
5. West Side Story
_______
6. King Richard
7. Dune
8. CODA
9. Don't Look Up
10. Nightmare Alley

Best Director (seen all five)

1. Steven Spielberg (West Side Story
2. Drive My Car (Ryusuke Hamaguchi)
3. PT Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
_____
4. Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
5. Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)

Best Actor (seen four)

1. Will Smith (King Richard)
2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
_____
3. Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)
4. Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick… Boom!)

Best Actress (seen four)

1. Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)
2. Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
_____
3. Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
4. Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)

Best Supporting Actor (seen all five)

1. Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
2. Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
3. Troy Kotsur (CODA)
_____
4. Ciaran Hinds (Belfast)
5. JK Simmons (Being the Ricardos)

Best Supporting Actress (seen all five)

1. Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
2. Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
3. Judi Dench (Belfast)
_____
4. Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
5. Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)

Best Original Screenplay (seen all five)

1. The Worst Person in the World
2. Belfast
3. King Richard
______
4. Licorice Pizza
5. Don't Look Up

Best Adapted Screenplay (seen all five)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Power of the Dog
3. The Lost Daughter
_________________
4. Dune
5. CODA

Best Animated Feature (seen zero)

Best International Feature (seen two)

1. Drive My Car
2. The Worst Person in the World

Best Documentary Feature (seen zero)

Best Documentary Short (seen zero)

Best Live Action Short (seen zero)

Best Animated Short (seen zero)

Best Production Design (seen four)

1. West Side Story
2. The Power of the Dog
_________
3. Nightmare Alley
4. Dune

Best Cinematography (seen four)

1. West Side Story
2. The Power of the Dog
_________
3. Dune
4. Nightmare Alley

Best Costume Design (seen four)

1. Cruella
2. West Side Story
_________
3. Dune
4. Nightmare Alley

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (seen three)

1. Cruella
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
__________
3. Dune

Best Original Score (seen three)

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Don't Look Up
________
3. Dune

Best Original Song (seen two)

1. "Down to Joy" (Belfast)
2. "Be Alive" (King Richard)

Best Sound (seen four)

1. West Side Story
2. Dune
_______
3. The Power of the Dog
4. Belfast

Best Film Editing (seen all five)

1. Don't Look Up
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
________
4. King Richard
5. Tick, Tick… Boom!

Best Visual Effects (seen one)

1. Dune

[flip]

i've tallied everything posted so far, but there are a lot of ties, especially in the later categories, so i'll leave this open one more hour in the hope another ballot comes in

[flip]

for comparison (both with our results and the actual results) i'll post what appear to be, from very cursory research, the betting favourites in the major categories:

Best Picture: The Power of the Dog or CODA

i checked two betting sites, and they listed different favourites. nothing else appears to have much of a shot

Best Director: Jane Campion

everyone else is a major longshot

Best Actor: Will Smith

Benedict Cumberbatch has an outside chance, no one else seems to

Best Actress: Jessica Chastain

Nicole Kidman is a bit more in this race than Cumberbatch is in the Actor one (and Penelope Cruz might be too, according to one site), but is still a longshot

Best Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur

Kodi Smit-Mcphee is sort of in this race too, more so than Kidman or Cumberbatch are in theirs

Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose

Campion to win Director is the biggest lock, by the odds, of all the categories above, but DeBose is the next closest to a sure thing

Adapted Screenplay: CODA

The Power of the Dog is right in this race though.

Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza

This and Best Pic seem to be the closest categories -- it's basically a tossup between this and Belfast

Animated Feature: Encanto

The Mitchells vs the Machines is second in the odds, but Encanto is nearly a lock.

Documentary Feature: Summer of Soul

Flee has some chance at this too.

International Feature: Drive My Car

If it got a Best Pic nomination, it's hard to see it losing this prize, it's almost a lock in the betting, Flee is a distant second

Cinematography: Dune

Dune has a huge edge over Power of the Dog

Production Design: Dune

Nightmare Alley has a bit of a shot too

Costume Design: Cruella

Dune has a shot here though

Makeup: The Eyes of Tammy Faye

The film is named for makeup, kind of, so it makes sense if it wins, Dune and Cruella have outside chances

Editing: Dune

This one is quite close, King Richard is right in it, and Power of the Dog isn't too far behind either

Sound; Dune

This one is not close at all.

Song; No Time to Die

The song from Encanto is in this too, but is a clear underdog.

Score: Dune

The Power of the Dog score is second in the odds, but it's sort of a longshot.

Effects: Dune

Basically a lock.

[flip]

I guess I shouldn't expect any more ballots, so here are the results. SCFZ had a clear favourite film (the best pic winner) though i expect if m. arkadin and roscoe had posted longer ballots, licorice pizza might have fared a lot better. and i doubt this has ever happened: our supporting acting winners have (almost) the same first name

SCFZ Picks the Oscars -- RESULTS

Best Picture: Drive My Car (Ryusuke Hamaguchi)

Best Director: Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)

Best Actor: Will Smith (King Richard)

Best Actress: Kristen Stewart (Spencer)

Best Supporting Actor: Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)

Best Supporting Actress: Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)

Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

Best Adapted Screenplay: Drive My Car

Best Animated Feature: The Mitchells vs The Machines

Best International Feature: Drive My Car (Ryusuke Hamaguchi)

Best Documentary Feature (tie) :
Attica
Summer of Soul

Best Documentary Short: The Queen of Basketball

Best Live Action Short: Please Hold

Best Animated Short: The Windshield Wiper

Best Production Design (tie) :
West Side Story
Nightmare Alley

Best Cinematography (tie) :
West Side Story
The Power of the Dog

Best Costume Design (tie) :
West Side Story
Cruella
Cyrano

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (tie) :
Cruella
The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Original Score: The Power of the Dog

Best Original Song: "Be Alive" (King Richard)

Best Sound: Dune

Best Film Editing (tie) :
Don't Look Up
The Power of the Dog

Best Visual Effects: Dune

[flip]

the only film with more than 3 nominations that won nothing from us is Belfast, a film i actually thought was good, though no one else seemed to. but of the films that are very likely to win multiple awards in real life, the one that scfz did not seem to care much for was CODA, a film i did not think was good.

[flip]

i guess some awards are already in:

Makeup: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Editing: Dune
Production Design: Dune
Original Score: Dune
Sound: Dune
Live Action Short: The Long Goodbye
Animated Short: The Windshield Wiper
Documentary Short: The Queen of Basketball

so far every betting favourite has won (even if the vanity fair update said the editing award for dune was a surprise). the picks don't line up all that well with scfz's, outside of the short film categories, which only john ryan voted in -- his picks match two of the three winners.

[flip]

after a couple of agreements with the academy choices early on (mostly with a couple of the awards to dune, and to the shorts), scfz basically agreed with the academy on nothing besides that will smith deserved a prize. so that's kind of reassuring.

[ofrene]

can't understand why people like CODA-_-

[rischka]

i never even heard of it til yesterday lol

do people think this will smith slap thing was real or designed to increase viewers of this boring and overlong show which i didn't watch

[Roscoe]

The slap was real. The Academy doesn't want or plan that kind of ugly controversy, and neither do the two actors involved.